Case studies abound of businesses that have seen their
success turn into bloat,
hubris, and ultimately decline.
It should be no surprise then that the most powerful and unparalleled
military in history is having a hard time coming to grips with the coming
budget cuts. The resources
at the disposal of the military are as massive as the coming cuts are
comparatively paltry (despite protestations to the contrary), yet the real
challenge is more one of rationalizing the organization’s allocation of
resources.
The military is saddled with more restraints and armed with
fewer incentives and metrics than any private sector organization. At the same
time, the massive, conservative bureaucracy of the Department of Defense (DoD),
replete with its four separate services and countless other fiefdoms, is
notoriously resistant to change.
Attempts to rationalize, streamline, and flatten the organization will
be staunchly resisted, while general officer
leaders are unprepared, if
not unwilling, to break this phalanx. This all means that reforms will have to come at the hands of
disruptive
actors within and outside DoD, rather than a unified, top-down
campaign. While it is much in
vogue to deny that the rules of the business world apply to the military, the
time is ripe for more dialogue between the two worlds to both inform and learn
from this unique case.
The staunch resistance of entrenched,
status quo interests in any organization makes reform efforts
difficult. Corporate leadership,
business units, employee groups, and shareholders can all be impediments to
bold change. All can value the
comfort of short-term stability over the risk that faces nearly every effort to
reform. These challenges are all
the more daunting in declining powerhouse corporations that have long enjoyed an
advantaged position. As Richard Rumelt
warned, “Success leads to laxity and bloat, and these lead to decline. Few organizations avoid this tragic
arc." When businesses sense
the imperative for change, they have a number of quantitative and qualitative
tools at hand to rationalize their decision-making: industry models, market
research, payroll costs, revenue, sales, and other statistics. They can turn to consultants,
researchers, fresh views brought in from other companies, or even experts from
other sectors in order to blaze a new trail forward.
America’s military has few of the tools laid out above to
use in its reform campaign. First,
it has no true strategic competition to focus minds. Surely, the insurgencies of the past decade have forced
tactical innovation and strategic minds give lip service to the rising threat
of China. There is no “threat
and constraint,” no competitive pressure of the sort that forces hard,
rational decisions about resource allocation. In DoD, parochial interests
continue to dominate at multiple levels:
competition for resources by fiefdoms within each service, the
increasingly bruising inter-service budget battles, and the powerful
purse-string control of Congress which often prioritizes industry and district
concerns over fiscal and military effectiveness.
Second, the military lacks the metrics that guide most
reform efforts. Its workforce is
almost entirely salaried, leaving little data for optimization. It has no revenue or sales
figures. Its unique warfighting
functions have few, if any analogues in the private sector for comparison. And even when it comes to fighting the
Nation’s battles, metrics are notoriously
misreported, misunderstood, and misused. Furthermore, defenders of the status quo use the unique
nature of the military to scoff
at anyone who would try to introduce management and reform lessons from the private
sector – often with a haughty reference to the failures of Wall Street and
Enron (as if the conduct of our recent wars has been enlightened).
When you add these two points to a maddening third – the
massive bureaucracy’s conservative organizational culture and legendary ability
for self-defense – we are presented with what seems like an intractable
challenge.
It would seem that changing this Leviathan could only be
driven from the top, but prospects for that are dim. Institutional leadership is split between civilian
political appointees (nominally in charge but ephemeral in office), general
officers (long-socialized
products of the organizational culture needing change), and career
bureaucrats (even longer-socialized).
But even these leaders lack control over the Congressional mandates that
often drive the most inefficient acquisitions and personnel policies. In the face of this entrenched, status
quo leadership, top-level reformers can only succeed by the de facto flattening effect of empowering
“disruptive” juniors.
Junior and mid-grade officers have recently made a small
buzz by discussing a set of ideas loosely labeled “disruptive
thinking.” This concept has
been criticized roundly by guardians of the status quo, and even some reformers. Supporters of the term have been
labeled as “young
Turks” – revolutionaries or rabble-rousers – and told that we must avoid
scaring the organization if we want it to change. Yet, by definition, a closed system that is resistant to
needed change must be disrupted.
Thankfully, for all its conservative faults, the military is more
forgiving of open discourse about reform than many corporations. The idea is out. Now it needs the purchase that can only
come through a collaboration of visionary high-level leadership and bottom-up,
disruptive reformers.
Lacking traditional drivers and avenues of reform, as
described above, the only way to change an organization is for executives to
partner with the lower and middle management to identify broken processes,
bloated business units, dysfunctional institutions and paradigms, and
ineffective allocation of resources.
This partnership is surely disruptive. It partially cuts out the entrenched, status quo
upper-middle management of the organization, in essence acknowledging that this
conservative layer is constitutionally incapable of decisive change. Yet, without such a disruptive move,
executives will never hear the ground truths about their organization, nor the
bold options for change that fresh minds, not yet fully conditioned by the
pedestrian interests of one stovepipe, have to offer.
This dialogue, if it continues, is worth watching by
managers and students of management.
The uniqueness of the case does not negate its usefulness to a broader
audience. Furthermore, a more
efficient, effective defense is in all citizens’ interests.

You should post this on SWJ
ReplyDeleteDone!
ReplyDeleteAnd while you're at it, maybe a post on the business dealings of retired military with various foreign nations, using mil-mil connections to create business while a friggin' hot war is going on....
ReplyDeleteRetired military and retired spooks and retired diplomats are some of the biggest water carriers for a whole host of nations that work against American interests. Luckily for them, most people are too lazy to do the homework, even military intellectuals or area study scholars, many of whom look at the world entirely through one narrow lens.
Oh, and apparently, military-military training stops tooth decay and cures the common cold. Talk about delusional. Nobody changes any core strategic beliefs because he or she trained in the States--or receives foreign military assistance, or receives targeted civilian aid packages. Delusional.
Declassified documents studied by contemporary SA scholars (many non-Western) show that much of the conventional DC/Brussels wisdom about strategic actors in "AFPAK" is a bunch of garbage. Almost all of our attempts to create regional stability in the past have kind of backfired. The British left, we took over their thinking about that part of the world -- except, the "leaving" didn't really take place from the standpoint of the NATO countries.
With all the money spent, all the lives lost, all the words written, all the supposedly curious investigative reporters out there, no one finds his or her way to this excellent material--excellent papers--based on declassified historical materials.
Fine. I'm sort of done doing homework for people (not complaining about you or your blogging, just talking out loud....)
Why don't people do their intellectual homework? Why? I mean, you can put up Thomas Barnett's core-seam-gap up against anything written about the developed and developing world during the 50s and 60s and find not one bit of difference.
But first, you have to look.
- Madhu
Oh, and this is going to sound paranaoid, but with that part of the world, always google a name for past statements. I mean Americans, everyone.
ReplyDeleteI'm being serious, Peter. I know your area is more the middle east, but when it comes to south asia, always search for past statements or activities. Trust me on this one.
Once you do this, a whole new world opens up. You would be surprised.
- Madhu
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ReplyDelete